Wiggly-Survival
0x35b59000aa388c64fab3a49238fdcb2000e06950
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$398.27
Total PnL
$169.28
Realised
$-34.09
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?
398 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$398.27
$235.11
- YES
Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?
50 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.92
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
18 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnthropic acquired in 2025?$3.99May 23, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?$0.00May 7, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Greens be part of the next German government?$0.00May 7, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoo Seong-min be the People's Power Party candidate for president?$0.00May 7, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?$0.00May 7, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?$4.65Apr 25, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic acquired in 2025?$11.84Apr 14, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Korea in April?$0.00Apr 14, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Indonesia in April?$0.00Apr 14, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Indonesia in April?$0.00Apr 14, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Korea in April?$0.00Apr 14, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield be above 4.8% on April 11?$0.00Apr 14, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield be less than 4.2% on April 11?$5.00Apr 14, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield be less than 4.2% on April 11?$0.00Apr 14, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic acquired in 2025?$3.19Apr 10, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?$51.51Apr 10, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic acquired in 2025?$0.96Apr 10, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic acquired in 2025?$5.00Apr 10, 12:25 UTC
- REWARD$6.23Apr 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Taiwan in April?$67.32Apr 9, 17:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
25/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $19.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 22:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.