Misguided-Chestnut
0x35b9a0e7e8fcac55f035751211f01c30ba50f40b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-95.67
Realised
$14.83
Win rate
89%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
280 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
190 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
170 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
150 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
107 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.20Apr 30, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.07Apr 30, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.50Apr 30, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.45Apr 30, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.30Apr 30, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.06Apr 30, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.68Apr 30, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.06Apr 30, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$2.00Apr 30, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.96Apr 30, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.82Apr 30, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.05Apr 30, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.54Apr 30, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.31Apr 30, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.98Apr 30, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.05Apr 30, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.48Apr 30, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.30Apr 30, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.56Apr 30, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.54Apr 30, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 18:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.