Self-Reliant-Asymmetry
0x35bc4a415a5c89c7830d49c4873505be646ea8cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$34.10
Total PnL
$-124.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
1714 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.00
$-15.21
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
448 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
145 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.60
$-3.40
- YES
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
388 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.58
$-3.92
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
673 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.34
$-4.66
- YES
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
473 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.24
$-4.76
- YES
Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
302 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.15
$-4.85
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
960 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
480 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$24.12Jul 21, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.99Jul 20, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.07Jul 20, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$4.68Jul 17, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.20Jul 17, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$10.14Jul 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$10.39Jul 16, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jul 16, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 16, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 16, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 16, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 16, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 16, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 16, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.20Jul 16, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.20Jul 16, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.20Jul 16, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$154.98Jul 16, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.20Jul 16, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.19Jul 16, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 05:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.