Fickle-Triangle
0x35be0d53912cac0bc5aa3edf6b604b44e7f2567e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.62
Realised
$0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 21?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on February 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?
190 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 24?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 24?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on February 24?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 24?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 24?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 24?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 24?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?$1.15May 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?$1.01May 15, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 12?$1.30May 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?$1.01May 12, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 11?$1.43May 11, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 12?$1.20May 10, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 11?$1.20May 10, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 11?$2.76May 9, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 9?$2.76May 9, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 9?$2.57May 7, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 7?$1.17May 7, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 7?$1.27May 7, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 7?$1.01May 5, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 7?$1.01May 5, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 25?$0.01Apr 24, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 25?$0.99Apr 24, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 25?$0.01Apr 24, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 25?$0.01Apr 24, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 25?$0.03Apr 24, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 25?$0.01Apr 24, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 22:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.