Dull-Temperature
0x35cda15930f9d2cc8b53ae83f19cab3afbfe17c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Yoon released from custody before March?
3735 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-839.87
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?
589 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-330.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
120 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-101.84
- NO
Doge ETF approved in 2025?
70 shares @ 43.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?$330.00Jan 18, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$20.00Jan 18, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$20.00Jan 18, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin by March 31?$30.00Jan 18, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$50.00Jan 18, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$100.00Jan 18, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMPepe ETF in 2025?$110.00Jan 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$101.84Feb 14, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in January 2025?$101.00Feb 13, 18:23 UTC
- REWARD$0.49Feb 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon released from custody before March?$124.87Feb 11, 03:11 UTC
- REWARD$0.35Feb 11, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Raptors$0.00Feb 1, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$55.00Feb 1, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMBlues vs. Avalanche$99.96Feb 1, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMCanucks vs. Stars$100.00Feb 1, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Hornets$100.00Feb 1, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. 76ers$100.00Feb 1, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlues vs. Avalanche$19.00Feb 1, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlues vs. Avalanche$1.24Feb 1, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $77.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.