Hollow-Petticoat
0x35deb5bd3a522c8ea01150e355ffdc7a9e650e67
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$35.71
Total PnL
$-39.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$35.71
$25.71
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
97 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.25
- YES
Will Travis Kelce be the top Fantasy Tight End?
19 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
19 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
13 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$5.25Nov 4, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMChiefs vs. Raiders$5.25Nov 4, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYChiefs vs. Raiders$4.25Oct 22, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $145 on October 18?$4.25Oct 22, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $145 on October 18?$3.74Oct 15, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Travis Kelce be the top Fantasy Tight End?$3.00Oct 15, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$3.00Oct 15, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$6.00Oct 15, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$6.00Oct 15, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH reach 3.7k in July?$14.78Oct 15, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill $BTC reach 70k in July?$6.64Jul 27, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$27.00Jul 22, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMBiden drops out of presidential race?$0.00Jul 22, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMMajor challenger to Biden for Democratic nomination?$0.00Jul 22, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$0.00Jul 22, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $57,000 on July 12?$12.82Jul 22, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $135 on July 12?$14.49Jul 22, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $ETH reach 3.7k in July?$11.97Jul 8, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $135 on July 12?$10.00Jul 8, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $57,000 on July 12?$5.00Jul 8, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $7.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.