Front-Answer-Threshold
0x35e09bb9f9caaafc06674025bf6e8d479cd409a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?
345 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 11?
229 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?
6 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$1.35Jul 2, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$1.02Jul 1, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$1.02Jul 1, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$1.01Jul 1, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$1.06Jun 14, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.05Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jun 12, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$1.00Jun 12, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11?$1.05Jun 10, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 11?$1.05Jun 10, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Dana White by June 30?$1.04Jun 10, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$1.52Jun 10, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$1.02Jun 4, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$1.40Jun 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?$1.27Jun 1, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?$1.01May 31, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 in May?$1.02May 27, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$1.06May 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$1.02May 21, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$1.24May 21, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 21:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.