0x35e8ebffcbb05762f778056e9ae7e0b0e779ab6e
0x35e8ebffcbb05762f778056e9ae7e0b0e779ab6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Leicester win on 2024-11-30?
412 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.41
- YES
Will Israel strike Iran on Wednesday Oct 16?
323 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2024$0.00
$-0.32
- NO
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-01?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Florida Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$2.34Jan 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$2.31Jan 19, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$3.31Jan 11, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$3.30Jan 3, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$3.30Jan 2, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$3.31Jan 1, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok banned in the US in 2024?$3.51Dec 22, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US in 2024?$2.40Dec 17, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Quinn Ewers win the Heisman Trophy?$0.08Dec 12, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$0.22Dec 12, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$0.27Dec 12, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.92Dec 11, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.25Dec 11, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.07Dec 11, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?$0.16Dec 11, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?$0.19Dec 9, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?$0.19Dec 8, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.22Dec 5, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Quinn Ewers win the Heisman Trophy?$0.08Dec 4, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.22Dec 3, 15:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.