Aching-Sip
0x35f2e4120889d9a2c6638ed33f54c46834c9b200
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$28.28
Total PnL
$-120.92
Realised
$11.62
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
1499 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.73
$15.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
506 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.83
$-4.08
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 14.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.60
$0.62
- NO
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
80 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.12
$-4.88
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
510 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
476 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.94
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
450 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.60
- YES
Will Taylor Swift say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Tonight Show on October 6?
201 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
124 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-11.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?
120 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $4.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.