Playful-Sanction
0x35f2e5bf2acc1f558e6ed6eb7d6bbebbd106c035
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-70.4K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
51%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
20080 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-204.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
15152 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
11111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-103.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-101.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ET
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
7691 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
7544 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.9K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
7054 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-159.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
6349 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$3.21Jul 18, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$10.53Jul 18, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$20.77Jul 18, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$2.14Jul 18, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$21.02Jul 18, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.07Jul 18, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$34.19Jul 18, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$20.62Jul 18, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$45.41Jul 18, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$20.78Jul 18, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$20.76Jul 18, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.34Jul 18, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.00Jul 18, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$9.37Jul 18, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$42.82Jul 18, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$32.75Jul 18, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.13Jul 18, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
51% win rate over 39 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
39 closed markets, 51% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $15.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.