Ornery-Productivity
0x35f5701acb81e4c64a27bdb8915842972e5cb476
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.77
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 7?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 24?
50 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?
50 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.65
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July?
50 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?
50 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?
20 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
- NO
Will JPMorgan say "Invest" or "Investment" 5+ times during earnings call?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- NO
Will ConAgra Brands say "Inflation" during earnings call?
20 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- REWARD$14.04Aug 7, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?$46.61Jul 16, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?$0.04Jul 16, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by July 31?$0.06Jul 16, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by July 31?$0.06Jul 16, 05:01 UTC
- REWARD$13.11Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Think" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$0.06Jul 15, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$0.20Jul 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Think" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$0.20Jul 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ConAgra Brands say "Margin" 5+ times during earnings call?$0.20Jul 15, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ConAgra Brands say "Frozen" 5+ times during earnings call?$0.20Jul 15, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ConAgra Brands say "Inflation" during earnings call?$0.03Jul 15, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ConAgra Brands say "Inflation" during earnings call?$0.17Jul 15, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ConAgra Brands say "Frozen" during earnings call?$0.06Jul 15, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ConAgra Brands say "Volume" during earnings call?$0.24Jul 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ConAgra Brands say "Fiscal" during earnings call?$0.08Jul 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?$0.06Jul 15, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?$47.45Jul 15, 00:28 UTC
- REWARD$33.70Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ConAgra Brands say "Margin" 5+ times during earnings call?$18.60Jul 14, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 05:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.