Worrisome-Absence
0x35f5869471c66ddf5d710e0c833753c8d99ba501
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.88
Realised
$-10.27
Win rate
0%
75 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 29?
212 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 78°F or higher on May 5?
199 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on July 1?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 62°F or higher on May 7?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 1?$1.05Jul 1, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?$1.05Jul 1, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 1?$1.05Jul 1, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30?$1.06Jun 30, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 30?$1.28Jun 30, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 30?$1.04Jun 30, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30?$1.04Jun 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30?$1.00Jun 30, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 30?$1.05Jun 30, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?$1.03Jun 30, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 30?$1.01Jun 30, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 29?$1.59Jun 29, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on July 1?$1.05Jun 29, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 29?$1.02Jun 29, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 29?$1.02Jun 29, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 29?$1.05Jun 29, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.05Jun 1, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.05Jun 1, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.05Jun 1, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.05Jun 1, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 75 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
75 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 75 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.