Complex-Ambience
0x35fb9ff237ffe318d6e8b2d026dc339134bb8511
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$786.56
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$-298.62
Win rate
31%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?
525 shares @ 39.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$448.76
$241.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?
247 shares @ 52.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$232.09
$103.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?
100 shares @ 40.2¢·now 61.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$61.49
$21.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?
35 shares @ 68.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$32.73
$8.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10?
110 shares @ 32.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$3.85
$-32.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 10?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$3.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 11?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.02
$-0.28
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 10?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$1.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 10?
1238 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.62
$-42.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 10?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.60
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?$2.79Aug 10, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?$3.72Aug 10, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?$6.95Aug 10, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?$6.65Aug 10, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?$3.28Aug 10, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?$1.21Aug 10, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?$5.24Aug 10, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?$23.00Aug 10, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?$24.00Aug 10, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?$26.00Aug 10, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?$13.50Aug 10, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?$14.50Aug 10, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?$1.93Aug 10, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 10?$4.18Aug 10, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?$6.20Aug 10, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?$2.08Aug 10, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?$2.22Aug 10, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?$11.50Aug 10, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?$2.40Aug 10, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?$3.84Aug 10, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.