Complex-Ambience
0x35fb9ff237ffe318d6e8b2d026dc339134bb8511
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$148.76
Total PnL
$-168.80
Realised
$-71.81
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
80 shares @ 65.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.20
$-22.80
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
950 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.47
$-30.48
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
803 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.26
$-12.55
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
350 shares @ 7.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.19
$-9.66
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
490 shares @ 7.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.47
$-22.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 24?
200 shares @ 3.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$8.68
$2.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?
30 shares @ 17.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$6.15
$1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?
45 shares @ 10.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$5.85
$1.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$5.58
$0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.96Jun 23, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.05Jun 23, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.03Jun 23, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.03Jun 23, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.01Jun 23, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.05Jun 23, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.05Jun 23, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.14Jun 23, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.03Jun 23, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.05Jun 23, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.02Jun 23, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.03Jun 23, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.02Jun 23, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.01Jun 23, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.04Jun 23, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.06Jun 23, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.06Jun 23, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.13Jun 23, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.01Jun 23, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 24?$0.01Jun 23, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.