Mellow-Cost
0x360784ed50abc73bbf13fcb652fca5308d19c08b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$38.46
Total PnL
$-429.39
Realised
$11.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$38.46
$28.46
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- FLYQUEST
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuest
536 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-146.02
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 30?
379 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-104.96
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.75
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
230 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.20
- YES
Epstein client list released in 2025?
212 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?
156 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$50.66Mar 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$5.00Mar 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$10.00Mar 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$10.00Mar 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$50.00Mar 17, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$11.90Mar 17, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$0.00Mar 17, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$5.00Mar 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$15.00Mar 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.82Feb 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.23Feb 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.56Feb 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.30Feb 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.09Feb 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$4.99Feb 17, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?$0.00Jan 30, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?$137.87Jan 30, 20:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 5, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$32.20Jan 4, 15:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $15.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 04:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".