Passionate-Jellyfish
0x360e575b62595d75db0ee77ba7fd9ecc547ec462
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$116.90
Total PnL
$-193.15
Realised
$-62.74
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
332 shares @ 9.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.14
$21.74
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
68 shares @ 23.4¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$19.50
$3.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
65 shares @ 15.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.03
$2.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
122 shares @ 8.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$10.39
$0.39
- YES
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
40 shares @ 38.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$6.34
$-8.86
- YES
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$5.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 37.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.03
$-2.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$4.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
439 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$6.21Jun 23, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$10.31Jun 23, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$10.46Jun 23, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$5.20Jun 23, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$1.04Jun 23, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$5.21Jun 23, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$10.37Jun 23, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$19.56Jun 23, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$20.78Jun 23, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.46Jun 23, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$10.45Jun 23, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$10.45Jun 23, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$5.36Jun 23, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$5.21Jun 23, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$5.23Jun 23, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$10.42Jun 23, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$8.00Jun 23, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$1.05Jun 23, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$51.14Jun 23, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$1.05Jun 23, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 23:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.