Muddy-Strap
0x361715cd94cf4a39d6be674fa7b107c1dcff98b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$1.36
Total PnL
$-348.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$-1.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?
13000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 18?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 12?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
451 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-87.24
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
443 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
225 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 15?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
110 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?
106 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$3.05Jun 14, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$1.02Jun 14, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$4.69Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$3.03Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$5.03Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$6.07Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$2.35Jun 13, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.20Apr 16, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$2.96Apr 16, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$0.00Apr 16, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.59Apr 16, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$2.00Apr 16, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.79Apr 16, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.00Apr 16, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$2.00Mar 25, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 07:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.