Ugly-Cellar
0x36171a71a8d347f12adda6fa281fc5f74d1ef00a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Over $90M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
439 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
333 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will India win?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-24?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
153 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
HumidiFi FDV above $600M one day after launch?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.00Feb 15, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$1.00Feb 3, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$1.00Feb 3, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$3.00Feb 3, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $90M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$3.00Feb 3, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$4.00Jan 28, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $90M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$4.00Jan 28, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$4.00Jan 28, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?$2.00Jan 19, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jan 19, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Jan 19, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?$2.00Jan 8, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?$1.59Jan 6, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 24, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Dec 24, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Dec 24, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?$1.00Dec 24, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-27?$1.00Dec 24, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?$1.00Dec 24, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$1.00Dec 24, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".