Grimy-Furnace
0x3618caf709d3521bd3499d9af19b49dca7f12a23
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$17.49
Total PnL
$-357.44
Realised
$-1.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.09
$7.08
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
30 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.40
$-4.70
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
3872 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
833 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?
340 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
241 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-12.30
- NO
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?
224 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$19.00Mar 9, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?$10.14Mar 8, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$13.00Mar 8, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$42.14Mar 8, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$29.00Mar 6, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.00Mar 6, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$6.95Mar 6, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$16.95Mar 6, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 6, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?$7.12Mar 1, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$35.93Mar 1, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$10.20Feb 28, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$9.00Feb 28, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$10.00Feb 28, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.00Feb 28, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$5.99Feb 28, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$5.00Feb 28, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $11.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.