Idolized-Aircraft-Surgeon
0x361f6e7f734e20549f8c138b4a8ce13f60b3369d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-463.10
Realised
$34.53
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
197 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-23.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
132 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
122 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
121 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
119 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$25.05Jul 3, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$16.81Jul 3, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$10.48Jul 3, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$10.47Jul 3, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$35.56Jul 3, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$33.10Jul 3, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$16.62Jul 3, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.07Jul 3, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$10.38Jul 3, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.33Jul 3, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.69Jul 3, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.07Jul 3, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$14.27Jul 3, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$8.34Jul 3, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.27Jul 3, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.62Jul 3, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.06Jul 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$3.29Jul 3, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.08Jul 3, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$4.44Jul 3, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.