Unruly-Disagreement
0x3621459f3c3fdd97fd2fd2afc1e87cf199b09da2
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
97
Open notional
$31.72
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$7.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
192 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$31.21
$6.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 13?
309 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.15
$-4.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 13?
102 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.15
$-19.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?
190 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.09
$-15.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 13?
140 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.07
$-14.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13?
68 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.03
$-19.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 31?
1075 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?
608 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on June 4?
421 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 3?
413 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?$114.13Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?$5.23Jun 13, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?$15.65Jun 13, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?$5.23Jun 13, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 13?$15.67Jun 13, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 13?$5.25Jun 13, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?$5.22Jun 13, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?$1.04Jun 13, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13?$20.70Jun 13, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 13?$20.80Jun 13, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$25.87Jun 12, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?$38.82Jun 8, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?$15.49Jun 8, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 8?$5.23Jun 8, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 8?$15.63Jun 8, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 8?$10.47Jun 8, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8?$26.12Jun 8, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 6?$5.23Jun 6, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 6?$4.54Jun 6, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 6?$5.23Jun 6, 11:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.