Healthy-Waterskiing
0x362a3de39c45cb80b45de2a5d8c14d3793fa94b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$60.48
Total PnL
$1.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
37 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.68
$0.68
- NO
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.20
$0.04
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
4 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.17
$0.17
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
4 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.13
$0.13
- NO
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.66
$0.02
- NO
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
3 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.42
$0.06
- NO
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$3.36Mar 5, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?$3.00Mar 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?$3.64Mar 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$4.16Mar 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$4.00Mar 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$4.00Mar 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$2.00Mar 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$35.00Mar 5, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?$13.92Mar 5, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$45.00Mar 5, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMSenators vs. Canadiens$559.34Dec 3, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Canadiens$290.86Dec 2, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?$13.82Oct 5, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$44.19Oct 5, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?$58.01Oct 5, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?$18.07Sep 23, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?$39.77Sep 23, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?$57.84Sep 23, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?$56.86Aug 5, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?$56.86Aug 5, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $34.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.