Imperturbable-Authorization
0x362bfbe10c747d4961eae5ca677c65e37a92108d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$657.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
1110 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$810.30
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1110 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-42.87
- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
500 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
280 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.04
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
60 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.14
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.01May 6, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$10.09May 5, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$177.83May 5, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$108.00May 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$29.82May 5, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$23.04May 5, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$10.80May 5, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$0.37May 5, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$2.78May 5, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$6.20Jan 18, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$41.91Jan 18, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$9.00Jan 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$7.00Jan 14, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$29.97Jan 9, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.90Jan 8, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$50.40Jan 7, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.0KDec 8, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$95.27Nov 17, 07:44 UTC
- REWARD$1.76Nov 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$15.93Nov 15, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $15.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.