Positive-Media
0x362cf3b065f95a8f0f3ec09d87bc7edc35f2ac6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$61.75
Total PnL
$-884.79
Realised
$-33.10
Win rate
0%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
130 shares @ 23.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$44.85
$14.95
- BAYERN MUNICH
Spread: Bayern Munich (-1.5)
30 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$11.25
$-0.15
- BAYERN MUNICH
Spread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)
26 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$5.65
$0.13
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1126 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-217.30
- YES
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?
270 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
185 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
162 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
154 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?
133 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)$1.05Aug 22, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)$1.05Aug 22, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)$0.27Aug 22, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)$1.05Aug 22, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)$1.05Aug 22, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)$1.05Aug 22, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMTommy Paul vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 2.5$20.00Aug 20, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayern Munich (-1.5)$11.75Aug 20, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTommy Paul vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 2.5$9.25Aug 20, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?$9.55Aug 3, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?$21.50Jul 30, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$20.00Jul 18, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$20.47Jul 18, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5$10.21Jul 18, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$11.25Jul 18, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: France O/U 5.5 Corners$10.27Jul 18, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$30.48Jul 18, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$12.42Jul 18, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$10.70Jul 15, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half$3.95Jul 15, 18:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 49 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
49 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $10.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.