Crushing-Psychology
0x362ff4f46668243aa5d409ca82b44309bb203113
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$31.86
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-388.89
Win rate
8%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?
6372 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$31.86
$-170.98
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?
29546 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-502.84
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July?
25796 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 June 29-July 5?
8427 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-101.12
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?
7590 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-232.36
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 June 29-July 5?
6000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?
4881 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-121.31
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?
4110 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-55.15
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 July 27-August 2?
1800 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-93.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August?$22.76Aug 14, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August?$3.23Aug 14, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August?$4.04Aug 11, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?$7.05Aug 11, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August?$52.31Aug 11, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?$38.51Aug 11, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August?$36.42Aug 11, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August?$79.55Aug 11, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?$0.50Aug 10, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?$0.13Aug 10, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August?$94.72Aug 7, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?$13.76Aug 7, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?$94.00Aug 7, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?$4.22Aug 7, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?$11.11Aug 7, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August?$64.36Aug 3, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?$23.33Aug 3, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?$154.09Aug 3, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?$13.17Aug 3, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?$90.17Aug 3, 03:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $45.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.