Crushing-Psychology
0x362ff4f46668243aa5d409ca82b44309bb203113
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$238.83
Total PnL
$-814.76
Realised
$10.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 June 29-July 5?
6000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$84.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 June 29-July 5?
8427 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$50.56
$-50.56
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
360 shares @ 13.9¢·now 10.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.18
$-13.86
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
380 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.49
$-10.09
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?
29546 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.77
$-487.92
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
76 shares @ 13.1¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.93
$3.93
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?
7590 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.79
$-228.57
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?
200 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.10
$-2.50
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.65Jul 1, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 June 29-July 5?$120.00Jun 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $48,000 June 29-July 5?$108.12Jun 30, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$244.55Jun 30, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?$0.00Jun 30, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?$0.00Jun 30, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?$0.00Jun 30, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?$0.00Jun 30, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.52Jun 30, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.89Jun 30, 03:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNetherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$117.66Jun 29, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?$22.59Jun 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?$28.72Jun 29, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?$19.98Jun 29, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$127.43Jun 29, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?$51.42Jun 29, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.12Jun 29, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $54.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.