Bubbly-Campanile
0x3636220e18e4c789881b547ef570e3024a691a57
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$170.80
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$4.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$57.50
$-42.50
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2536 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$57.05
$-15.44
- YES
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
12500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$56.25
$6.25
- NO
Will Trump visit Egypt by October 31?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
170 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?
162 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.44
- NO
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
117 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13?
110 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-35.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 18?
106 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-32.45
- NO
Will Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93.45Jul 12, 19:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $14.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.