Jaunty-Bagel
0x3639974910be004338c1b8f265b17427fc155a89
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$62.22
Total PnL
$-93.14
Realised
$-0.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
62 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$62.22
$59.11
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?
910 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Japan troop visit on October 28?
525 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?
520 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?
408 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during Japan troop visit on October 28?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?
222 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 31?
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "President Xi" during Japan troop visit on October 28?
68 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by December 31?$0.00Dec 27, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by December 31?$1.95Dec 26, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by December 31?$0.91Dec 26, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by December 31?$0.25Dec 26, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Nigeria by November 30?$0.00Dec 26, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$2.34Nov 7, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.20Nov 4, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Nigeria by November 30?$35.00Nov 4, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 31?$2.93Oct 31, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 31?$2.00Oct 31, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 31?$1.00Oct 31, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRed Wings vs. Kings$5.93Oct 31, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Kings$4.34Oct 31, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?$2.73Oct 30, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?$3.19Oct 30, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?$2.05Oct 30, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?$5.00Oct 30, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?$23.95Oct 30, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?$3.54Oct 30, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?$6.86Oct 30, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 27, 01:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".