Warm-Somersault
0x3642c244ab7b5e1fb461999ccb15fcfd6d84c012
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.50
Total PnL
$-61.03
Realised
$31.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
500 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.50
$-8.50
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
1367 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.26
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?
855 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
500 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?
100 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.00Mar 19, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.10Mar 19, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.54Mar 19, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.09Mar 18, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.94Mar 14, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.22Mar 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.64Mar 13, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.12Mar 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.11Mar 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.11Mar 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.07Mar 12, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$2.35Mar 12, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.08Mar 12, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.55Mar 12, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.55Mar 12, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.84Mar 10, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.04Mar 10, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.65Mar 10, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.35Mar 7, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.01Mar 7, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 06:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".