0x36549bbb192af51ef68471de4bb281986f33be88
0x36549bbb192af51ef68471de4bb281986f33be88
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$86.76
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-81.73
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3289 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$83.55
$-1.97
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?
804 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$3.22
$-93.26
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
9163 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-118.86
- YES
Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Croatia?
7747 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-96.20
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Algeria?
7730 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-96.20
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?
4405 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-82.02
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
4183 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-96.21
- YES
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 0 Norway?
2048 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-96.28
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Egypt?
1926 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-96.29
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Croatia?
1851 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-129.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$123.57Jun 18, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Qatar?$99.99Jun 18, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa?$95.00Jun 18, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?$99.99Jun 18, 16:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Ghana 3 - 3 Panama?$9.67Jun 17, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?$9.66Jun 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?$0.01Jun 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia?$1.2KJun 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$88.87Jun 17, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$88.89Jun 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 1 Croatia?$134.46Jun 17, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?$104.99Jun 17, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia?$215.00Jun 17, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 0 - 3 Croatia?$100.01Jun 17, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.99Jun 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?$9.48Jun 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Algeria?$100.02Jun 16, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?$99.99Jun 16, 21:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
8/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $208.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.