Smooth-Occasion
0x36579deb4427628fa11de4bb0ac564331d1c3b16
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
107
Open notional
$0.01
Total PnL
$-364.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$0.00
- YES
Paperboy Prince gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nihal Sarin win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zellnor Myrie gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hubert Hurkacz win Wimbledon 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5$2.20Mar 30, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)$2.45Mar 28, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5$2.60Mar 28, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline$1.90Mar 28, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5$5.00Mar 28, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$5.00Mar 28, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$2.75Mar 27, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5$2.25Mar 27, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5$5.00Mar 27, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$5.00Mar 27, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$2.95Mar 26, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5$2.65Mar 26, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-3.5)$5.00Mar 26, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-3.5)$2.70Mar 25, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5$2.20Mar 25, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5$2.30Mar 25, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5$5.00Mar 24, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Heat: O/U 239.5$2.05Mar 23, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5$2.65Mar 23, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-3.5)$2.55Mar 23, 21:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 21:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".