Harmful-Preface
0x366c8cadd90a3a3f267719900715ac42d3e5ef07
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$47.84
Total PnL
$-143.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
361 shares @ 16.6¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$44.64
$-15.36
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
136 shares @ 7.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.20
$-6.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
615 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
194 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
87 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $7.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.