Dear-Instrumentalist
0x367807ab994505461044b8e547bdd97823aed0a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$9.25
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 32.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.25
$-6.75
- YES
Will FC Nantes vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
1400 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-364.00
- NO
Will Lesotho win on 2025-10-13?
1000 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-760.00
- NO
Will Toronto FC win on 2025-10-18?
880 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-642.40
- YES
Will Lecce win on 2025-10-25?
450 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- WIZARDS
Rockets vs. Wizards
400 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- MISSOURI
Alabama vs. Missouri
400 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will Bayern München vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?
350 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Will Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
300 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-57.00
- MIAMI
Spread: Miami (-13.5)
250 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-127.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$15.00Jul 5, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$134.00Jun 21, 06:33 UTC
- REWARD$1.69Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 2?$19.81Jun 2, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 2?$8.17Jun 2, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 2?$8.70Jun 2, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 2?$3.73Jun 2, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?$40.50May 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17?$7.67May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?$50.40Mar 15, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Wizards$44.00Mar 2, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-16?$0.52Feb 16, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-16?$5.51Feb 16, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-16?$2.34Feb 16, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-16?$14.66Feb 16, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-16?$3.81Feb 16, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-16?$0.35Feb 16, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Hurricanes$74.00Feb 1, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$10.58Jan 4, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$0.47Jan 4, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $48.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 04:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.