Subdued-Resistance
0x36839f21713beed1fbced0b6645f61d9337f1bb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-128.79
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 21?
312 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on April 20?
229 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-21.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on April 17?
181 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on April 17?
154 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on April 17?
80 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on April 17?
58 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
38 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.46
- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
34 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
22 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?$62.43Apr 21, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?$23.81Apr 21, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 21?$41.14Apr 21, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 21?$14.59Apr 21, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?$20.00Apr 20, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 21?$50.00Apr 20, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?$20.00Apr 20, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 21?$10.00Apr 20, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 21?$5.00Apr 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 20?$7.72Apr 20, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 20?$60.00Apr 20, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 20?$0.21Apr 20, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 20?$158.04Apr 20, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on April 20?$23.00Apr 19, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 20?$50.00Apr 19, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 20?$57.94Apr 19, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on April 17?$0.01Apr 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on April 17?$91.99Apr 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on April 17?$39.18Apr 17, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on April 17?$2.26Apr 17, 07:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $20.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.