Wallet digest

active

Activity score

42/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$16.00

Total PnL

$-1.3K

Realised

$-144.41

Win rate

15 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026
$10.00
$5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
6 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$6.00
$2.58
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
151 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026
$0.00
$-6.87
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
95 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026
$0.00
$-5.59
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
38 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026
$0.00
$-28.73
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
30 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026
$0.00
$-10.58
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
30 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026
$0.00
$-9.59
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
30 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026
$0.00
$-10.49
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
30 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026
$0.00
$-11.47
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
29 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026
$0.00
$-15.31

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$11.57Apr 3, 14:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$3.00Apr 3, 14:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$3.00Apr 3, 14:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$3.00Apr 3, 14:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$3.06Apr 3, 14:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$2.94Apr 3, 14:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.88Apr 3, 14:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.82Apr 3, 14:30 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.79Apr 3, 14:27 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.80Apr 3, 14:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$3.06Apr 3, 14:20 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.79Apr 3, 14:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$3.18Apr 3, 14:15 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.79Apr 3, 14:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$3.06Apr 3, 14:11 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$5.81Apr 3, 14:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$3.12Apr 3, 14:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$3.42Apr 3, 14:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$3.36Apr 3, 13:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$3.30Apr 3, 13:54 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence50 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry93 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk50 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 35
Avg trade size: $2.87
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 3, 11:59 UTC
Last active: Apr 3, 14:57 UTC
Win rate sample: 15 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:14:47 UTC·src:Polymarket Data