Fortunate-Randomization
0x36903b68b48b5d74a8b6fa6042270c6f9e5551ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$74.72
Total PnL
$-19.17
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- YES
Avaí FC to score first vs. EC Juventude?
24 shares @ 2.7¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$8.29
$7.66
- YES
EC Juventude vs. Avaí FC: Neither team to score first?
16 shares @ 3.8¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.45
$4.86
- YES
Exact Score: CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3 - 2 Club Blooming?
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$5.17
$4.96
- YES
Exact Score: CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1 - 1 Club Blooming?
7 shares @ 0.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$3.49
$3.49
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
7 shares @ 1.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$3.49
$3.42
- YES
Exact Score: CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0 - 0 Club Blooming?
7 shares @ 0.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$3.49
$3.49
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?
29 shares @ 0.0¢·now 9.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.88
$2.88
- YES
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-05-31?
6 shares @ 0.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.73
$2.73
- YES
Will Club Blooming vs. Club The Strongest end in a draw?
6 shares @ 33.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.72
$0.89
- YES
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-06-14?
6 shares @ 33.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.72
$0.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?$0.36Jul 22, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?$0.07Jul 22, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?$0.04Jul 22, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?$0.46Jul 22, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?$0.34Jul 22, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 1. FC Slovácko?$0.04Jul 22, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #2 US song this week?$0.03Jul 22, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 24?$0.03Jul 22, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 23?$0.02Jul 22, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 22?$0.15Jul 22, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on July 31, 2026?$0.01Jul 22, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?$0.07Jul 22, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?$0.07Jul 22, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Chicago Fire FC 0 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?$0.08Jul 22, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on July 22?$0.03Jul 22, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on July 22?$0.03Jul 22, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on July 22?$0.04Jul 22, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on July 22?$0.05Jul 22, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?$0.01Jul 22, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?$0.42Jul 22, 08:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 05:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 14:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.