Worse-Definition
0x369557b4315e210f039e11f51ee2fc3393c00c7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-975.38
Realised
$12.01
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- YES
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 29, 2026?
1122 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1001 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- HOFSTRA PRIDE
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hofstra Pride (W)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
813 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
697 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.45
- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- MVK ESPORTS
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season
365 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-122.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
230 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
206 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$16.46Mar 8, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.24Mar 1, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$10.21Mar 1, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$7.21Feb 28, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$7.21Feb 28, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?$8.24Feb 27, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by February 28, 2026?$5.55Feb 27, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?$1.77Feb 25, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCentral Michigan Chippewas vs. Kent State Golden Flashes$13.00Feb 25, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 25, 2026?$13.92Feb 25, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 25, 2026?$12.98Feb 24, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$12.33Feb 24, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$10.00Feb 24, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$5.11Feb 24, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$5.22Feb 24, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$5.00Feb 24, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$5.00Feb 24, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by February 28, 2026?$11.00Feb 23, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?$10.00Feb 23, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$30.00Feb 23, 04:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $21.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 20:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.