0x36966ad8548035d66799ed01ecdfbf1d10ad69ce
0x36966ad8548035d66799ed01ecdfbf1d10ad69ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.1K
Realised
$117.94
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
10000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.8K
- OVER
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
4000 shares @ 77.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
3000 shares @ 76.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
1000 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-859.99
- YES
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?
1000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-709.99
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
600 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-213.50
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
600 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
580 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-17.41
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
500 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- UNDER
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$22.90Jul 19, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$21.75Jul 19, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$372.05Jul 19, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$9.16Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$37.20Jul 19, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$120.42Jul 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$207.38Jul 19, 12:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.49Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-18?$5.0KJul 18, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. England end in a draw?$2.28Jul 18, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-18?$4.7KJul 18, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$93.00Jul 18, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$15.32Jul 18, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$6.15Jul 18, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$2.01Jul 18, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$4.71Jul 18, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$19.13Jul 18, 15:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.55Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$400.00Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$200.00Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $314.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.