Extra-Small-Suspect-Trace
0x369ab53105b6efdbde6eb9cf86a0aa514090ba6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$9.75
Total PnL
$-15.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?
320 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
133 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?
57 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGhana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score AND Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5$9.38Jun 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?$1.04Jun 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?$1.04Jun 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?$1.04Jun 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?$1.04Jun 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?$1.04Jun 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$5.13Jun 17, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 AND Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$19.61Jun 17, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$9.94Jun 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$10.29Jun 16, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 AND Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$5.11Jun 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$3.08Jun 16, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?$2.05Jun 16, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$5.05Jun 16, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$5.13Jun 16, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$5.12Jun 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score AND Norway to score first vs. Iraq?$5.05Jun 16, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $4.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 21:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.