Miserable-Readiness
0x36a666d839e2c34cc08a908baab6aa2a9d7152c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$303.58
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 9-15?
6017 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-86.59
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1773 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.09
- CAVALIERS
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
760 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-125.70
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
700 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-79.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 13?
700 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-29.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
619 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-138.70
- LOS ANGELES SPARKS
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries
564 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-39.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
494 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.55
- NO
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?
479 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-117.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Querétaro FC vs. CF América end in a draw?$23.76Jul 19, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$10.40Jul 19, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$20.80Jul 19, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Summer League: Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs AND San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners$20.00Jul 19, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners AND UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) AND Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?$1.99Jul 19, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Summer League: Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs AND San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners AND Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Washington Freedom AND Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?$1.99Jul 19, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever$78.44Jul 19, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever$4.12Jul 19, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever$28.02Jul 19, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries$10.36Jul 19, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries$10.36Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx$32.00Jul 19, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries$10.36Jul 19, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever AND PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx$4.99Jul 19, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$10.31Jul 19, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$11.37Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$9.62Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$10.31Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5.13Jul 19, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$5.17Jul 19, 00:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.