Sociable-Diplomacy
0x36c107a99ace4a076485fe503e8570a3f16f46ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$227.21
Total PnL
$-489.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
210 shares @ 59.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$210.00
$85.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.21
$-12.79
- NO
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
4153 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-53.99
- YES
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
999 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-79.89
- YES
Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
780 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-21.85
- YES
New pandemic in 2025?
529 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
290 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-116.00
- YES
Starmer out in 2025?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$125.00Mar 16, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$30.00Oct 28, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out in 2025?$20.00Oct 28, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$116.00Oct 28, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$166.67Oct 19, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$21.85Mar 25, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$20.00Mar 25, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$20.00Mar 25, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$50.00Mar 25, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$50.00Mar 25, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$50.00Mar 25, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2025?$100.00Jan 5, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$53.99Jan 5, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?$79.89Dec 26, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $56.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.