Brilliant-Halloween
0x36c569bce8568fac88238eba41e0f24a79cb8a6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-78.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?
1555 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$1.1K
$-15.55
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
100 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?$1.1KJun 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?$132.60Jun 17, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?$3.36Jun 17, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?$46.20Jun 17, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?$72.60Jun 17, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?$13.20Jun 17, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?$127.00Jun 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?$59.69Jun 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$99.00May 16, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$97.00Apr 29, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$48.75Mar 31, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$6.69Mar 30, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$37.79Mar 30, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.97Mar 30, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 3AM ET$19.98Feb 28, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 3AM ET$19.94Feb 28, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 3AM ET$156.82Feb 28, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 3AM ET$46.20Feb 28, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 3AM ET$23.80Feb 28, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 3AM ET$0.56Feb 28, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $91.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 10:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.