0x36d64fd95c516d5131cfbca7760fb9079f64e94b
0x36d64fd95c516d5131cfbca7760fb9079f64e94b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$243.77
Total PnL
$-149.83
Realised
$15.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
102 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$102.00
$63.24
- YES
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
59 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$59.49
$39.28
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
31 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$31.25
$20.94
- NO
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
59 shares @ 32.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$29.41
$10.59
- NO
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$10.07
$3.67
- YES
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
7 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.76
$5.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
27 shares @ 33.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.56
$-6.34
- NO
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 17.2¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.23
$-2.70
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
356 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-98.18
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
138 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$8.91Aug 5, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$156.00Jul 25, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$0.00Jul 25, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or below on March 21?$0.00Jul 14, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$20.50Jul 14, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.00Jul 14, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$0.00Jul 14, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 23?$0.00Jul 14, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Olympique Lyonnais 0 - 2 RC Celta de Vigo?$0.00Jul 14, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.00Jul 14, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$0.00Jul 14, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$19.76Jul 14, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$20.50Jul 14, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$19.76Jul 14, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$19.76Jul 14, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$1.76Jul 14, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?$3.84Jul 14, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$20.37Jul 14, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$10.67Jul 14, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$20.37Jul 13, 21:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $31.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 05:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.