Cuddly-Ozone
0x36da5ca5d1d4b79f1c2ebbb09be8c13834568218
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-951.41
Realised
$2.20
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
3725 shares @ 49.6¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-676.39
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
2500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.50
$-62.50
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
2350 shares @ 8.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$129.25
$-70.75
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
500 shares @ 19.9¢·now 5.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$29.00
$-70.74
- NO
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?
14 shares @ 57.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.75
$1.87
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
500 shares @ 14.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.25
$-64.14
- YES
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
94 shares @ 0.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.34
$2.06
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
200 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.70
$-13.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$0.00Jul 27, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$0.00Jul 27, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$5.00Jul 26, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$10.00Jul 26, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$11.32Jul 26, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$5.00Jul 26, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$17.61Jul 26, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$19.07Jul 26, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$10.20Jul 25, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$39.60Jul 25, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$0.24Jul 25, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$49.25Jul 25, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$160.53Jul 25, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?$8.25Jul 25, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$157.50Jul 24, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$149.68Jul 24, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$273.00Jul 24, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$0.00Jul 24, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$0.00Jul 24, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?$0.00Jul 24, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $29.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.