0x36de805890a64dc84800d3a951cb83397fad9d67
0x36de805890a64dc84800d3a951cb83397fad9d67
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-625.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
25072 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-349.99
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?
10684 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-59.99
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
779 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?
52 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$794.64Feb 9, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLICE forced to unmask by February 28?$70.30Feb 9, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYICE forced to unmask by February 28?$100.00Feb 9, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$900.00Feb 9, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$1.4KFeb 9, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$1.4KFeb 9, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?$10.00Feb 7, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $28.21Feb 6, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $1.94Feb 6, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $0.64Feb 6, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?$50.00Feb 6, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $50.00Feb 6, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$100.00Feb 6, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$78.27Feb 4, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMMoltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?$0.00Feb 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$45.00Feb 3, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$100.00Feb 3, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$100.00Feb 2, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$150.00Feb 2, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$44.41Feb 1, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $355.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 03:00 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 23:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.