Dual-Transit
0x36eb9c06ce44302ae68e462350bfa828191da9fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
187
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$-225.38
Win rate
71%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 187- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?
13993 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
13000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 6?
5000 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?
4602 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-436.51
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?
3710 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-435.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 19?
2995 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-308.95
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 19?
2830 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20?
2500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-49.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 4?
2262 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-44.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 26?
2162 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-94.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?$23.61Jul 20, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?$3.80Jul 20, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?$0.11Jul 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?$0.41Jul 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlex Baena: 1+ shots AND Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shots$49.99Jul 19, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?$46.65Jul 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 2+ shots on target AND Lionel Messi: 2+ shots on target$109.00Jul 15, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 15?$3.21Jul 15, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$49.99Jul 15, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 15?$23.37Jul 15, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 15?$19.58Jul 15, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 15?$11.74Jul 15, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 15?$22.02Jul 15, 10:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.07Jul 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals$15.64Jul 14, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 14?$23.54Jul 14, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 14?$32.62Jul 14, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 14?$1.36Jul 14, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 14?$25.84Jul 14, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 14?$29.49Jul 14, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $27.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 21:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.