Dual-Transit
0x36eb9c06ce44302ae68e462350bfa828191da9fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
163
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.2K
Realised
$-234.38
Win rate
70%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?
13993 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
13000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 6?
5000 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?
4602 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-436.51
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?
3710 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-435.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 19?
2995 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-308.95
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 19?
2830 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20?
2500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-49.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 4?
2262 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-44.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 26?
2162 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-94.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ecuador (-1.5) AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$46.77Jun 20, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEcuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5 AND Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5$45.58Jun 20, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 AND Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5$52.47Jun 20, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 AND Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5$35.35Jun 20, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$151.35Jun 20, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$70.80Jun 20, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?$20.45Jun 20, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$51.08Jun 19, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Morocco (-1.5) AND Spread: Brazil (-2.5)$71.73Jun 19, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?$59.78Jun 18, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$61.20Jun 18, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$31.06Jun 18, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$41.79Jun 18, 09:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.47Jun 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17?$0.24Jun 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17?$95.84Jun 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17?$0.56Jun 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17?$0.16Jun 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17?$0.33Jun 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17?$0.33Jun 17, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $23.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 15:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.