Frosty-Jam
0x36ef0552d262ac320770a6715df2552175743c3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
146
Open notional
$414.34
Total PnL
$-68.06
Realised
$-1.03
Win rate
25%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 146- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 9?
26 shares @ 24.6¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$8.44
$2.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 10?
30 shares @ 21.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$8.38
$1.98
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
60 shares @ 13.9¢·now 13.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.24
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?
13 shares @ 47.7¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$7.58
$1.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 8?
27 shares @ 22.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$7.19
$1.09
- NO
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
8 shares @ 88.2¢·now 87.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$7.12
$-0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 9?
16 shares @ 41.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$7.08
$0.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 8?
7 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$7.01
$0.61
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?
8 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$6.86
$0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 10?
18 shares @ 34.1¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$6.79
$0.61
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 8?$3.33Jul 8, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 9?$3.22Jul 8, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 8?$3.24Jul 8, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 8?$7.25Jul 8, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 10?$3.20Jul 8, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 10?$3.33Jul 8, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?$3.20Jul 8, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 10?$3.22Jul 8, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?$3.22Jul 8, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 8?$3.35Jul 8, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 10?$3.21Jul 8, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 8?$3.21Jul 8, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 8?$3.21Jul 8, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 10?$3.22Jul 8, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 10?$3.21Jul 8, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?$3.25Jul 8, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?$3.24Jul 8, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 8?$3.22Jul 8, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 10?$3.23Jul 8, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 10?$3.22Jul 8, 07:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 06:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.