0x36f4c21a7ed49120c9e19966df5b0f658166ab1e
0x36f4c21a7ed49120c9e19966df5b0f658166ab1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$595.05
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$-927.04
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
7532 shares @ 9.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.53
$-515.92
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
5227 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$162.05
$-7.95
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
3471 shares @ 5.6¢·now 3.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$135.39
$-59.61
- YES
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
383 shares @ 14.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$47.87
$-7.13
- YES
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
212 shares @ 7.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.64
$-3.36
- YES
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?
117 shares @ 12.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.56
$-4.44
- YES
Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?
347 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.81
$-16.50
- YES
Will Solana reach $130 in July?
7072 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.07
$-174.91
- YES
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?
109 shares @ 9.2¢·now 6.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.64
$-3.36
- YES
Will Solana reach $120 in July?
5293 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.29
$-207.69
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.