Trusting-Skin
0x36f6cb933fb3daf958a010e3db75a5b05931db6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-423.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during WEF Address on January 21?
1782 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Golden Age of America" during WEF Address on January 21?
1035 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Mortgage" during WEF Address on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Wife" during WEF Address on January 21?
406 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
402 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- LAKERS
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
308 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-154.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" during WEF Address on January 21?
272 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- OVER
Golden Knights vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
187 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-74.80
- BRONCOS
Patriots vs. Broncos
175 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-61.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$5.03Feb 14, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?$4.08Feb 14, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-7.5)$154.00Feb 10, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?$5.12Feb 7, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMMazatlán FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5$5.12Feb 7, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMazatlán FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5$3.07Feb 7, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5$2.26Feb 7, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5$37.84Feb 7, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5$25.16Feb 7, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5$66.48Jan 28, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5$4.32Jan 28, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5$4.00Jan 28, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPatriots vs. Broncos$61.12Jan 25, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-3.5)$20.00Jan 25, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas Jayhawks vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 157.5$20.00Jan 25, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - January 22, 4PM ET$16.64Jan 22, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 22, 4PM ET$15.03Jan 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Thunder (-12.5)$15.03Jan 22, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-12.5)$126.73Jan 22, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4PM ET$0.00Jan 22, 01:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $19.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 04:08 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 23:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.