Visible-Order
0x36f78143caf3ffe123e7eb870c8fd4c34e9b8785
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$104.18
Total PnL
$-187.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 Week of July 6 2026?
104 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$104.18
$0.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7?
1130 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 23?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 7?
789 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 7?
743 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 7?
696 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 22?
625 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
506 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 Week of July 6 2026?$104.01Jul 9, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?$104.10Jul 9, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?$104.01Jun 27, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of June 22 2026?$104.14Jun 27, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of June 22 2026?$104.04Jun 26, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 30?$13.41Jun 26, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$14.13Jun 26, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.41Jun 26, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$62.19Jun 26, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$62.01May 31, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.40May 31, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$76.08May 31, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$76.01May 30, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$14.10May 30, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$90.27May 30, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$90.00May 30, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?$90.39May 30, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?$90.31May 29, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 30?$13.40May 29, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?$103.10May 29, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $74.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 11:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.