Used-Proprietor
0x36f9b0d0db05b7ffe5ff69774d70eb3f78607e3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$560.04
Total PnL
$-782.5K
Realised
$-296.0K
Win rate
12%
139 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13819 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$269.46
$-162.37
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
19711 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$137.98
$-478.00
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
29283 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$73.21
$-399.10
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
16659 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$58.31
$-462.29
- YES
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
880 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.20
$-1.26
- YES
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1462 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.19
$-3.56
- YES
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
1462 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.19
$-3.56
- YES
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?
1462 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.19
$-3.56
- YES
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?
1462 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.19
$-3.56
- YES
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?
1462 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.19
$-3.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Exact Score: France 1 - 0 England?$2.99Jul 17, 06:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$12.75Jul 16, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMMap 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 AND Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 AND Exact Score: St Joseph's FC 3 - 1 Bohemian FC?$2.0KJul 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$2.01Jul 16, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs AND Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers$16.00Jul 16, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$13.99Jul 16, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 AND Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 AND Exact Score: St Joseph's FC 3 - 1 Bohemian FC?$12.99Jul 16, 11:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
12% win rate over 139 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
139 closed markets, 12% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $24.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 139 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.