0x36fa82de83ed0bb67af4e0606560160bc3aa50fd
0x36fa82de83ed0bb67af4e0606560160bc3aa50fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.69
Realised
$-2.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on March 20?
6178 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22?
943 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 22?
285 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 25?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C or below on March 27?
146 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 23?
140 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on March 21?
100 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 35°F or below on March 23?
87 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 23?
52 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on March 22?
42 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C or below on March 27?$0.00Mar 25, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C or below on March 27?$0.85Mar 25, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C or below on March 27?$0.05Mar 25, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C or below on March 27?$0.05Mar 25, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C or below on March 27?$0.05Mar 25, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C or below on March 27?$0.02Mar 25, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 25?$0.43Mar 25, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 25?$0.55Mar 25, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 25?$0.02Mar 25, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 25?$1.00Mar 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on March 28?$0.10Mar 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on March 28?$0.90Mar 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on March 27?$1.31Mar 25, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on March 23?$5.00Mar 25, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 23?$1.78Mar 23, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 23?$2.02Mar 23, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 23?$1.48Mar 23, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 23?$0.57Mar 23, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 58°F or higher on March 25?$0.94Mar 23, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 22?$7.00Mar 23, 19:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $0.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.